Preseason Rankings
South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#323
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.6#211
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#248
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-8.0#350
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 23.8% 12.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 37.7% 79.2% 37.4%
.500 or above in Conference 67.0% 89.4% 66.8%
Conference Champion 15.4% 36.9% 15.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 0.1% 5.8%
First Four11.1% 12.0% 11.1%
First Round6.2% 16.1% 6.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 412 - 912 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 26   @ Memphis L 70-96 1%    
  Nov 12, 2019 87   @ Liberty L 58-77 4%    
  Nov 22, 2019 124   @ Vanderbilt L 64-80 7%    
  Nov 25, 2019 211   @ Austin Peay L 72-82 18%    
  Nov 27, 2019 100   @ Tulsa L 65-83 6%    
  Dec 07, 2019 319   Presbyterian W 76-73 59%    
  Dec 11, 2019 301   UNC Asheville W 69-68 53%    
  Dec 18, 2019 340   South Carolina Upstate W 77-72 67%    
  Dec 21, 2019 123   @ College of Charleston L 64-80 8%    
  Dec 30, 2019 298   @ Jacksonville L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 04, 2020 348   @ Coppin St. W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 06, 2020 329   @ Morgan St. L 77-80 41%    
  Jan 13, 2020 337   @ Howard L 79-80 47%    
  Jan 18, 2020 341   Florida A&M W 71-65 70%    
  Jan 20, 2020 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 56-47 77%    
  Jan 25, 2020 318   @ Norfolk St. L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 27, 2020 326   Bethune-Cookman W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 01, 2020 322   @ NC Central L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 03, 2020 325   @ N.C. A&T L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 10, 2020 349   Delaware St. W 62-54 74%    
  Feb 15, 2020 348   Coppin St. W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 17, 2020 329   Morgan St. W 80-77 60%    
  Feb 22, 2020 326   @ Bethune-Cookman L 76-79 41%    
  Feb 24, 2020 341   @ Florida A&M W 68-67 50%    
  Feb 29, 2020 322   NC Central W 71-68 59%    
  Mar 02, 2020 325   N.C. A&T W 73-70 60%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.5 3.8 4.4 3.4 1.7 0.5 15.4 1st
2nd 0.2 2.3 4.9 4.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 5.0 3.7 0.7 0.1 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 5.0 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.6 3.8 0.6 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.4 0.9 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.3 2.3 4.4 1.1 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 1.5 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 1.5 0.2 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 1.3 0.2 4.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 4.2 6.3 8.0 10.4 11.9 12.3 11.8 10.7 8.5 5.9 3.6 1.7 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 99.9% 1.7    1.7 0.0
14-2 92.6% 3.4    2.8 0.5 0.0
13-3 75.7% 4.4    2.9 1.4 0.1 0.0
12-4 44.7% 3.8    1.5 1.6 0.6 0.1
11-5 13.8% 1.5    0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 15.4% 15.4 9.7 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 56.9% 56.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
15-1 1.7% 48.3% 48.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9
14-2 3.6% 37.5% 37.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.3
13-3 5.9% 31.5% 31.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.0
12-4 8.5% 25.5% 25.5% 16.0 0.0 2.2 6.4
11-5 10.7% 19.0% 19.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0 8.7
10-6 11.8% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6 10.2
9-7 12.3% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 1.1 11.3
8-8 11.9% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.8 11.2
7-9 10.4% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 10.1
6-10 8.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 7.8
5-11 6.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-12 4.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-13 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 11.9 87.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%